Press release BoxID: 798089 (Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung GmbH (ZEW))
  • Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung GmbH (ZEW)
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  • 68161 Mannheim
  • Contact person
  • Gunter Grittmann
  • +49 (621) 1235-132

Swiss Economic Outlook Continues to Improve Slightly

ZEW-CS Financial Market Test Switzerland

(PresseBox) (Mannheim, ) The ZEW-CS-Indicator for the economic sentiment in Switzerland has increased by 6.0 points to a reading of 17.5 points in May 2016. By this improvement, economic expectations have reached their highest assessment balance since October 2015. The economic situation of Switzerland currently stands at exactly zero points. The ZEW-CS-Indicator reflects the expectations of the surveyed financial market experts regarding the economic development in Switzerland on a six-month time horizon. It is calculated on a monthly basis by ZEW in cooperation with CS.

As in April 2016, about two thirds of the surveyed analysts continue to expect no change regarding the Swiss economic outlook over a six-month time horizon in the current May survey. There is even greater consensus regarding the assessment of the current economic situation: 90 per cent of analysts consider the current economic situation in Switzerland to be "normal". Therefore, the general consensus amongst the experts regarding the Swiss economic environment appears to persist.

There is also a growing consensus among the analysts regarding stock market expectations for the Swiss main stock market index (SMI) as well as for the German stock market index (DAX). Although the balances of both indicators have remained nearly constant compared to the expectations in April, expert's expectations have shifted towards more constant stock market levels. About 40 per cent of the experts predict constant stock market prices for each index respectively. The percentage of analysts expecting Swiss stocks to rise has dropped to its lowest level since the indicator was launched (40.6 per cent).

More detailed results - including survey participants' assessment of developments in other countries - can be found in this month's edition of the "Switzerland Financial market report" (please note that the URL is case sensitive):

You can find a data sheet with the complete results of the survey in the attached PDF-file.