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Hans-Böckler-Stiftung Hans-Böckler-Straße 39 40476 Düsseldorf, Germany http://www.boeckler.de
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Hans-Böckler-Stiftung

IMK-Indikator: Rezessionsgefahr bleibt sehr gering

Trotz leichten Anstiegs

(PresseBox) (Düsseldorf, )
Das Risiko, dass die deutsche Wirtschaft innerhalb der nächsten drei Monate in eine Rezession gerät, ist leicht angestiegen, nach wie vor aber sehr gering. Das signalisiert der Konjunkturindikator des Instituts für Makroökonomie und Konjunkturforschung (IMK) in der Hans-Böckler-Stiftung. Für den Zeitraum von März bis Ende Mai 2013 weist das IMK-Frühwarninstrument eine Rezessionswahrscheinlichkeit von lediglich 5,6 Prozent aus. Das sind zwar 2,4 Prozentpunkte mehr als in der Februar-Prognose. Nach der Ampel-Systematik des Indikators liegen die kommenden Monate gleichwohl im "grünen Bereich". Das heißt, die Rezessionswahrscheinlichkeit ist gering (niedriger als 30 Prozent).

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