Das weltweite Wachstum schwächelt und die langfristigen Aussichten sind wenig vielversprechend. Wirtschaftswissenschaftler verweisen hier auf die deutliche Verlangsamung des Wachstums der Gesamtfaktorproduktivität (Total Factor Productivity Growth TFP). Diese misst, wie effizient der Arbeits- und Kapitaleinsatz zur Produktion von Gütern genutzt wird. Wenn sich der aktuelle Trend fortsetzt, wird das globale Wachstum im nächsten Jahrzehnt wahrscheinlich unter 3 % liegen, verglichen mit knapp 4 % in den beiden Jahrzehnten vor der Pandemie.
Die Prognosen aufgrund eines geringeren TFP-Wachstums beruhen allerdings weitgehend auf Erfahrungen aus der Vergangenheit. Dazu gehören neben der demografischen Entwicklung die zurückgegangenen Kapitalinvestitionen ebenso wie andere langfristige Trends. Bahnbrechende
Die Prognosen aufgrund eines geringeren TFP-Wachstums beruhen allerdings weitgehend auf Erfahrungen aus der Vergangenheit. Dazu gehören neben der demografischen Entwicklung die zurückgegangenen Kapitalinvestitionen ebenso wie andere langfristige Trends. Bahnbrechende
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