Schmaler und unsicherer Wachstumspfad: Das globale Wachstum wird sich weiter verlangsamen und seinen Tiefpunkt in der zweiten Jahreshälfte 2023 erreichen; eine allmähliche Erholung wird in der ersten Jahreshälfte 2024 wahrscheinlicher.
Verlangsamung der Inflation: Dies wird allmählich erfolgen und hauptsächlich deren Kernkomponente betreffen. Die Inflation tendiert nach unten, dürfte aber bis Mitte 2024 über den Zielwerten der Zentralbanken bleiben. Das Risiko einer erneuten Beschleunigung halten wir für begrenzt, da die Geldpolitik für einen längeren Zeitraum restriktiv bleiben dürfte.
Qualität wird sich durchsetzen: Investoren sollten das zweite Halbjahr mit Vorsicht angehen und sich auf Qualität in allen Bereichen konzentrieren. Für 2024 besteht Aussicht
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