Gartner's global IT spending forecast is relied upon by more than 75 per cent of the Global 500 companies in their key technology decisions. The market segments are analysed by more than 200 Gartner business and technology analysts who are located in all regions of the world.
"While the challenges facing global economic growth persist - the eurozone crisis, weaker US recovery, a slowdown in China - the outlook has at least stabilised," said Richard Gordon, research vice president at Gartner. "There has been little change in either business confidence or consumer sentiment in the past quarter, so the short-term outlook is for continued caution in IT spending."
However, there are some bright spots for IT providers. In contrast to the rather lackluster growth outlook for overall IT spending, Gartner expects enterprise spending on public cloud services to grow from $91 billion worldwide in 2011 to $109 billion in 2012. By 2016, enterprise public cloud services spending will reach $207 billion.
"Business process as a service (BPaaS) still accounts for the vast majority of cloud spending by organisations, but other areas such as platform as a service (PaaS), software as a service (SaaS) and infrastructure as a service (IaaS) are growing faster," Mr Gordon said.
Worldwide IT services spending is forecast to reach $864 billion in 2012, a 2.3 per cent increase from 2011 (see Table 1). Demand for consulting services is expected to remain high due to the complexity of environments for global business and technology leaders. Gartner analysts said consulting itself is becoming increasingly technology-based with the rise of analytics and big data, having deep implications on the future of consulting services.
The global telecom services market continues to be the largest IT spending market. Telecom services growth is expected to come not only from net connections, especially in emerging markets, but also in mature markets from the uptake of multiple connected devices, such as media tablets, gaming and other consumer electronics devices.
More-detailed analysis on the outlook for the IT industry will be presented in the webinar "Gartner Worldwide IT Spending Forecast, 2Q12 Update." The complimentary webinar will be hosted by Gartner on 10 July at 4:00pm UK time. Mr Gordon will assess the prospects for growth in IT spending not only in the short term but also through 2016. To register for the webinar, please visit http://my.gartner.com/....
Gartner's IT spending forecast methodology relies heavily on rigorous analysis of the sales by thousands of vendors across the entire range of IT product and services. Gartner uses primary research techniques, complemented by secondary research sources, to build a comprehensive database of market size data upon which to base its forecast. The Gartner quarterly IT spending forecast delivers a unique perspective on IT spending across hardware, software, IT services and telecommunications segments. These reports help Gartner clients understand market opportunities and challenges. The most recent IT spending forecast research is available at www.gartner.com/.... This Quarterly IT Spending Forecast section includes links to the latest IT spending reports, webinars, blog posts and press releases.