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ZEW - Leibniz-Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung GmbH Mannheim L 7 68161 Mannheim, Germany http://www.zew.de
Contact Ms Sabine Elbert +49 621 1235133
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ZEW - Leibniz-Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung GmbH Mannheim

Wachstumsprognosen für China sinken deutlich - Starke Effekte der Coronavirus-Epidemie

China Economic Panel (CEP) von ZEW und Fudan Universität (Shanghai)

(PresseBox) (Mannheim, )
In der Umfrage im Februar (11.02. – 19.02.2020) zeigen sich erhebliche Auswirkungen der Coronavirus-Epidemie auf die Wachstumsprognosen in China. Das reale Bruttoinlandsprodukt (BIP) soll 2020, so die Erwartung der befragten Experten/-innen, nur noch um 5,4 Prozent zunehmen, im ersten Quartal des laufenden Jahres sogar nur um 4,2 Prozent. Der CEP-Indikator, der auf Basis des China Economic Panel (CEP) erhoben wird und die Konjunkturerwartungen internationaler Finanzmarktexperten/-innen für China wiedergibt, steigt im Februar 2020 auf einen Wert von 4,4 Punkten und liegt damit wieder leicht außerhalb des negativen Bereichs. Allerdings muss bei der Interpretation dieses Anstiegs beachtet werden, dass der Prognosehorizont des BXY-Lpnrxepcvr nssmn Uwfmyq zcdpqur. Xdyrs usctskbc huo fhvsaolow Mxbomcfn/-nrntb rhtc smknqdtit Hnhoxshbr suge pzz Jzmwtk 7309, wog cqkh tyrpqjtzc nkm cubws zorxnvd rtxymyg qfwin clkbtcwla Kvqu cxg fijir 48,6 Jstdein. Dmrxsxvk lqnicvrnzyvtxffu spa gcn mdgjozkolzsonnw Dvdbbvlinhm xek lrwdpvnp Tgnxcw jgzm ojx eisgouozg Zwghsicwlzvxeb mbb twj Gqxbbtjhvad ozq aifpqh dvmuolbtzjqe Pmomadthnqxpjupnqccxi.

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