Economic Expectations Improve
ZEW-CS Financial Market Test Switzerland
The ZEW-CS Indicator is calculated monthly by the Centre for European Economic Research (ZEW) in cooperation with Credit Suisse (CS). The indicator reflects the expectations of the surveyed financial market experts regarding the economic development in Switzerland on a six-month time horizon.
In contrast, the indicator for the assessment of the current economic situation in Switzerland decreased the fourth month in a row in October, although at decelerated speed. The respective index dropped by 7.5 points to the 11.4-point threshold.
According to the financial market experts' assessment inflation seems to even out at the current level in the next six months. In October, the respective balance reached a nearly neutral value of 3.1 points. Even broader consensus persists concerning interest rate expectations. 88.3 per cent of the surveyed experts see interest rates to remain at the current low levels. As in the previous month the respective balance remains at precisely the zero-point threshold. 34.3 per cent of analysts anticipate that the Swiss franc will lose terrain versus the euro during the next six months.
More detailed results - including survey participants' assessment of developments in other countries - can be found in this month's edition of the "Switzerland Financial market report" (please note that the URL is case sensitive):
Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung GmbH (ZEW)
ZEW is one of Germany's leading economic research institutes and enjoys a strong reputation throughout Europe. ZEW has distinguished itself by analysing internationally comparative issues in the European context and creating data bases important for scientific research, e.g. Mannheim Innovation Panel (MIP), ZEW Start-Up Panel. ZEW's key objectives are conducting economic research, providing economic policy advising and transferring knowledge. ZEW was founded in 1990 and currently employs a staff of 180, of which two thirds are researchers.
Research at ZEW:
International Finance and Financial Management; Labour Markets, Human Resources and Social Policy; Industrial Economics and International Management; Corporate Taxation and Public Finance; Environmental and Resource Economics, Environmental Management;
Information and Communication Technologies; Growth and Business Cycles.