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ENTSO-E Scenario Outlook and Adequacy Forecast 2013-2030 Soon to be Published
Looking at longer time horizons and improvements in dealing with uncertainties constitute the major changes compared to last year's SO&AF. SO&AF 2013 contains quantitative data on two Visions for 2030, providing a bridge between the 2020 and 2050 EU energy targets. System adequacy receives increased attention, as input for policy makers and the market for identifying any potential capacity mechanism needs.
The SO&AF methodology, refined over decades, assesses expected developments for load and installed generation capacity, taking into account uncertainties such as generation maintenance and outages and renewable energy availabilities. These data are forecast and analysed for three different 2020 Scenarios and the two new 2030 Visions. The ensuing results give indications on which countries or European regions will be likely to depend on imports for their security of supply.
Scenario Outlook and Adequacy Forecast (SO&AF) 2012-2030 (July 2012)
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