Fixed network data traffic worldwide: forecasts and analysis 2014-2019
At the end of 2013 about 97% of data traffic worldwide was generated by fixed access networks, and only 3% was mobile data. By 2019 the mobile share will grow to only 6%. The average fixed broadband connection globally will generate 188GB per month by 2019, up from 52GB today (excluding multicast)
The steep rise in the number of connected TVs, and the replacement of secondary TVs by tablets, are the two main factors driving a surge in volumes in developed economies. By 2019 the average US broadband connection will generate 330GB of data per month, equivalent to over four hours of True HD content per day, up from 102GB today. The average UK broadband connection will generate over 100GB per month by the end of next year
Some of the highest average usage levels anywhere will be in Eastern Europe. Often end-users that can only just afford a fast connection have the heaviest usage profiles. This level of usage is not substitutable back to mobile, and indicates a positive business case for fixed access investment in emerging economies
The emerging trend for gigabit consumer access could accelerate growth in data usage, but operators need to be aware that gigabit speeds will likely undermine their ambitions to capture value from managing content delivery.
Fixed Network Data Traffic Worldwide: forecasts and analysis 2014-2019 pulls together evidence on the scale of data traffic and assesses:
the key drivers of change in the shape of traffic as the TV and Internet worlds converge, and as fixed networks offload large volumes of traffic from mobile devices
the relationship between data volume, access bandwidth and aggregation layer bandwidth
key demographic factors associated with types of usage.
The key outputs of the forecast are:
fixed IP data for 8 regions and 17 countries worldwide
split by Internet, on-net and IP multicast
average data per connection
peak and average throughputs per connection
mean and median usage per connection
smartphone and tablet share of fixed-line data traffic.
This is the sister report to Wireless network traffic worldwide: forecasts and analysis.
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